JLL: Prime European property to hold up despite economic upheaval (EU)

The latest economic forecasts from Jones Lang LaSalle suggest that barring the worst scenarios, the outlook for investments in prime offices, retail and industrial property remains positive with strong demand across European cities.

Andrew Burrell, Head of Forecasting at Jones Lang LaSalle, explained: "Against a sharp deterioration in economic sentiment, it is no surprise that there has been some downgrading of the outlook.

"However, whilst 2012 won't be a vintage year, our forecasts show modest rental growth across major prime property sectors will continue."

Jones Lang LaSalle forecasts also suggest prime commercial sectors will have much greater resilience to economic fluctuations than during the previous global downturn, with capital values expected to be maintained in all sectors.

Robert Stassen, Head of Capital Markets Research EMEA at Jones Lang LaSalle added: "We are still seeing strong interest across prime property in traditional centers like London, Paris and Munich. Because these areas are perceived to be low risk, prices will remain high.

"Growth will be driven primarily by markets in North and Eastern Europe with CEE centers such as Moscow and Warsaw having the most exciting prospects next year."

Whilst investment sentiment has suffered due to economic uncertainty, prime property yields are also forecast to remain steady over the next 12 months.

Andrew Burrell commented: "Yields look relatively attractive and hold a premium compared to other assets, with bond prices at rock bottom levels in many markets. Despite this upbeat picture, significant threats remain.

"The risks are firmly on the downside in 2012, with the clearest one being uncertainty surrounding the euro zone crisis where much still needs to be done to regain market confidence."

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle

Related News